Photos by Leong Chan Teik
WE RECENTLY VISITED Dutech Holdings' plants in Nantong and Sutong Science & Technology Park -- both of which are about two hours' drive from Shanghai where Dutech's HQ is based.
Key takeaways:
1. Chairman and CEO: Dutech's boss is among a rare group of head honchos of SGX-listed companies who have Ph.D degrees and are controlling shareholders of their companies.
Dr Johnny Liu earned his doctorate degree in material science in the US, where he once was VP of International Operations for Thermal Dynamics. He holds a 42.8% stake in Dutech.
2. One-of-a-kind business (on the SGX): Dutech, mainly, manufactures 'high-security' products -- safes for ATMs, offices and homes, and gun safes, and gaming machines.
Its key customers are Wincor Nixdorf and Diebold, the world's No.2 and No.3 ATM suppliers, respectively. (No.1 is NCR which has one exclusive OEM).
These 3 companies have about 50% of the global ATM market. (Their ATMs can be found islandwide in Singapore too).
Since last year, Dutech has been enjoying strong growth in a new business, producing gaming machines for use in casinos.
In aggregate, 'high-security' products generated RMB735.1 million of revenue for Dutech in 9M2014.
3. High barriers to entry: Dutech has all three industry certifications (UL, CEN and CCC, respectively) for ATM safes sold in the US, Europe and China.
Each new model of an ATM safe needs to be shipped to the respective authorities for certification. It takes months and a tidy sum of money for various tests to be carried out, including attacks to determine how hack-resistant a safe is.
The certifications represent one of Dutech's competitive advantages. In addition, Dutech reckons that its key customers face high switching costs -- ie, it's challenging for them to find quality suppliers who also have the production scale of Dutech.
Reflecting its entrenched relationship with its key customers, Dutech has gone from being OEM purely to a provider of significant ODM services too because its customers pass on R&D and engineering tasks to it.
4. Growth drivers: While Dutech has become a big player in the ATM market, and is optimistic about growing 10-15% a year, it is targeting to win a share of the "intelligent terminals" market which is a lot more massive.
It has secured one customer -- Scientific Games International (SGI) -- for its gaming machines which are used in casinos. SGI, which is a subsidiary of Scientific Games Corporation, a US$1 billion company, is expected to channel more business to Dutech this year and beyond.
Gaming machines aside, Dutech is seeking to produce other "intelligent terminals" such as ticketing machines and self check-in machines for use at airports.
Value-adding is also a key growth driver, whereby Dutech not just produces the security safes but also semi-assembles ATMs and gaming machines.
Its new plant in Sutong Science & Technology park will be devoted to producing intelligent terminals, and has the capacity to support Dutech's growth for the next 5-10 years.
5. M&A: Dutech acquired 90% of a German company, Deutsche Mechatronics, in 2H2014. This company, which devotes a lot of its resources to R&D, has the capabilities to enable Dutech to penetrate further into the "intelligent terminals" market.
"We are very strong on the mechanical side. Deutsche is very strong in software and electronics. With the acquisition, we have the ability to install everything for Wincor Nixdorf and Diebold," said Dr Liu. "It's not just the ATM safes but also the intelligent terminals."
For details of the acquisition, see Dutech's announcement.
Though loss-making, Deutsche Mechatronics is being streamlined and is expected to turn around in due time.
That would be a repeat of the success story of how another German company, Format, the largest safe manufacturer in Germany, turned profitable in 2014, about three years after it was 100% acquired by Dutech.
One cost-saving method was for Format to transfer the production of certain components of its high-end safes to Dutech in China.
Compared to Format, Dutech enjoys a significantly lower cost-structure with respect to land and labour -- particularly, engineers.
Dutech is on the prowl for another company to acquire and it would not be a surprise if it proves to be another good acquisition.
Dutech has demonstrated its skill in M&A by turning around Format and by acquiring 90% of Deutsche Mechatronics for 1 m euros while the latter's net tangible assets was 13.7 m euros as at June 2014.
6. Gross margin: Indications are that Dutech would be able to keep its margins stable in 2015.
In fact, Dutech's gross margin in 9M2014 actually rose 4 percentage points to 26.3% owing to lower steel costs and higher sales of ATM safes and gaming machines compensating for a fall in sales of gun safes. The latter has the lowest gross margin.
Management believes that a net margin of 10% is realistic and achievable over the long term.
7. Dividends: Dutech had RMB177.4 million in cash as at end of 3Q2014. On its balance sheet sat RMB46.6 million of borrowings, almost all of which are attributable to its Format and Deutsche Mechatronics. This reflects the strong cash-generation of Dutech's China operations.
Dutech has paid a total of six cents dividends for five financial years since its listing in 2007. Based on our conversation with management, we expect it would continue to pay a dividend for FY14 and beyond. And there is no indication it would be lower than 1 cent a share (as was paid out for FY13).
8. Valuation: Excluding a negative goodwill gain arising from the acquisition of Deutsche Mechatronics, Dutech's ROE was 15% while the trailing PE, about 5X.
Price-book: 0.8X, based on S$0.30 stock price and S$0.38 a share in net asset value. Dutech's market cap: S$107 million.
There is no analyst coveage of this stock currently.
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Comments
1) CEO worked in western companies for a long time. His management philosophy and business ethics would probably be shaped by them and thus operate in a more transparent and accountable manner. Take a look at s-chips that committed fraud and see the CEO's background, it's unlikely that they had western experience.
2) One of the richest German who runs a private capital firm choose to sell his german company to Dutech in exchange for Dutech shares. Furthermore he chose to continue holding the shares even though it was past contracted date and he was allowed to sell.
3) Global customers. Winchester, Wincor Nixdorf etc .. European and American customers do more checks on their suppliers than chinese companies.
These are just some of the clues that gives me confidence to their corporate governance.
f.y.i I am vested in this company, so look at these reasons objectively
There are many indicators which implies this one is a very different s-chip:
1, CEO is not a "business man", he is a Doctor in material science in US Auburn University, he holds various patterns in US an China, published more than 20 papers.
2, Company is the biggest security manufacturer in Asia, and the only one who holds ECBS certs which i believe is required to produce security safes for banks in Europe.
3, With all the acquisition including FORMAT and DTMT etc. Company NEVER raised capital through rights/placemen t/debts (which is very common in those fraud s-chips).
4, Company declared 1 cents dividends (2cents in 2008) quite often (5 out of 7 years), and as the quality acquisition made by the company (Dutech turned around loss making FORMAT within 2 years), I feel very comfortable with my money being used buy the company for growth instead of paying me back.
5, CEO owns 40%+ shares and personally bought back more in 2013s when the share price hits 3 years low around 0.13 (and i started collecting too:))
I will continue to hold this company for long and enjoy the growth of it, meanwhile wait MR.market to give it a fair valuation.