There are 2 analysts challenging each other -- one says Midas will be fine from 2H onwards, the other hates the stock.
The latter is from Kim Eng and you can read the intense dislike in the choice of words:
How much oxygen left? Maintain Hold with TP SGD0.32
MIDAS SP | Mkt Cap USD289.8m | ADTV USD1.9m
Ø Given its recent FY3/12 performance, we believe there is no longer
any earnings visibility, given that orderbook delivery schedule is now
arbitrary at best. A more useful analysis would be Midas’s ability to
stay solvent.
Ø Even in such a slowdown, we believe Midas can achieve marginally
positive operating cash flow. The cash outflow burden however, comes
from its capex plans for its 2nd plant in Luoyang. We conclude its cash
position should tide Midas till 2013 easily.
Ø To reflect renewed concerns on the robustness of Midas’s book value,
we take a 30% discount from its fixed assets as well as recievables and
inventory. This derives a TP of SGD0.32 and we maintain HOLD.
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[viviene 17-05-2012]:
25 cents? Maybe yes, maybe no.
DBS Vickers has issued a buy call already, expecting a recovery in 2H onwards.
Always darkest before dawn
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