Sapphire’s order book hits record high (15 Jul 16) Sapphire’s order book hit a record high with RMB873m of worth of infrastructure contracts won on 14 Jul 2016. It seems to be evolving into a serious infrastructure play. However, it is still an under researched, under noticed stock, judging from the lack of liquidity and zero analyst coverage. Noteworthy points on the contracts won
On 14 Jul 2016, Sapphire announced that it has clinched RMB873m worth of infrastructure contracts through its engineering, procurement and construction subsidiary, Ranken Infrastructure Limited. There are some noteworthy points in this announcement. |
Chart outlook
Sapphire’s chart seems to have improved. Since Jan 2016, it has traded within a range of $0.240 – 0.300. Based on Chart 1 below, Sapphire gaps up on relatively strong volume with 1.2m shares transacted which is a six-month high trading volume. (yes, Sapphire has been an illiquid stock, exacerbated by the 3 shares to 1 share consolidation.)
Stock price | 29 cents |
52-week range | 21.3 – 36.9 cents |
PE (ttm) | 11.4 |
Market cap | S$94.5 million |
Shares outstanding | 284.7 million |
Dividend yield (ttm) |
-- |
Year-to-date return | - 8.8% |
Source: Bloomberg |
Sapphire closed at $0.290, the highest closing price since 10 Mar 2016. ADX has been creeping higher and crossed above 20, indicative of a budding trend. (However, it still needs some time to see whether ADX can strengthen more.) Both 21D and 50D EMA are slowly rising with 21D forming a golden cross with 50D EMA. This seems to be a bullish development. 200D EMA has stopped declining and turned flat. Indicators such as MACD and RSI are strengthening with MACD forming bullish crossovers.
A sustained break with volume expansion at $0.240 / 0.300 points to an eventual measured technical target of around $0.180 / 0.360 respectively. In my opinion, the probability for an eventual bullish breakout outweighs that of a bearish breakdown.
Near term supports: $0.275 / 0.265 / 0.250
Near term resistances: $0.300 / 0.310 / 0.330
Chart 1: Probability of a bullish breakout > bearish breakdown
”My personal view is that 2QFY16F results is likely to be crucial in a couple of aspects: a) 2QFY16F results are likely to be announced between 11 - 15 Aug 2016. Together with 4QFY15 and 1QFY16, the investment community will be able to have a sense of Ranken's results and whether these results are sustainable and improving; b) 2QFY16F results, together with 4QFY15 and 1QFY16 and coupled with the rising order book, will also increase the investment community’s confidence in Sapphire’s management. Look forward to Sapphire’s results!" -- Ernest Lim CFA, CA (photo) |
Conclusion – 2Q results is key
I have written previously that Sapphire is evolving to be a proxy to infrastructure growth.
Since my first write-up on Feb 2016, Sapphire has seen some enquiries (or interest) from the investment community, such as fund managers and analysts.
P.S: Readers who wish to know more about Sapphire can refer to their informative website HERE for more information. Readers can also refer to my write-ups on Sapphire below
a) Sapphire’s chart strengthens (5 May 2016) (click HERE);
b) Sapphire – proxy to infrastructure growth (5 Feb 2016) (click HERE).
Disclaimer
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