IN JULY, we carried an analyst's report XMH: Turnaround in sight
Stock price | 15 cents |
52-week range | 14.6 - 19.5 cents |
PE (ttm) | 14.2 |
Market cap | S$68.1 million |
Price/book | 1.1 |
Dividend yield | 5.3% |
Unfortunately, the expected turnaround did not manifest itself in XMH Holdings' 1QFY16 (ended 31 July 2015), mainly because of a still weak Indonesian market.
Revenue dipped 7.8% to $23.8 m while net profit, 46.9% to $743,000.
The sharper fall in net profit was due to the consolidation of the first full quarter of operating expenses of Z-Power Automation, a newly-acquired 80% subsidiary.
Z-Power joins Mech-Power, which was 100% acquired in Sept 2013, in the XMH group.
Z-Power designs and manufacture marine switchboards, remote control distribution systems and other integrated marine automation products while Mech-Power produces standby gen-sets for clients such as data centres in Singapore
The following is a summary of the Q&A session at the analyst briefing last week.
The slowdown in the “projects” segment was due to which businesses? What was the improvement in the “distribution” business due to?
- The “projects” business as a whole consists of MPG and ZPA
- There was a slight decrease in this segment due to exceptionally high performance in 1Q2015
- “After sales” segment slowed due to the challenging business environment in Indonesia
- The “distribution” business increased due to the Vietnamese market
Why has the gross profit margin fallen lower? Is this a seasonality issue?
- In terms of margins, we still remain about the same
- On a normal basis, we average about 27%
- More service projects will command better margins
Assuming current revenue for all business segments, what is the normal stabilized Gross Margins for all segments?
- It depends on delivery of projects and new contracts
- We are trying to tighten our costs and 27% seems like a realistic average margin
- In good times it can be above 30% and in bad times it may be lower
There was a big jump in operating expenses, how much higher do we expect this to go?
- There were no major one-off items this quarter, so 1Q2016 operating expenses are a good reflection of what to expect
- On a normalised basis, we are looking at about S$21 million.
How successful have the new acquisitions been so far?
- There have been referrals and collaborations between the segments and more cross selling
- MPG has given ZPA a few contracts and ZPA itself has started to direct tender as well
- They are starting to work as a team
- The monthly margins look healthy
How long does the S$6.9m profit guarantee for MPG last?
- It was for 2 audited periods ended 31 Mar 2014 and 31 Mar 2015
- Going forward, MPG still has consistent flow of orders
Are any of the business segments loss making?
- No, they are all profitable
- If there was no amortization, the results would have been much better
Do you expect MPG to pick up over the next few quarters?
- Second and third quarter orders should come into play fairly soon
- It should be able to recognise slightly better results
What is the main market for the Group now? How is the business in Vietnam?
- It is still Indonesia but Vietnam has picked up
- Currently Vietnam contributes more than S$5 million in revenue
- At the current growth rate, Vietnam might just overtake Indonesia one day
- The sales there is more on generator set sales. We have tried industrial sets but because of the abundance of cheaper Chinese brands, it is difficult to penetrate that market
- On the Indonesian side currently there is slower demand for tugs and barges
- However, there have been more enquiries on marine vessels, oil tankers, coastal ferry etc
- Maldives has also contributed some sales
How many employees? Why are staff costs so high?
- ZPA has about 100 employees
- MPG has about 110 employees
- XMH has about 70 employees
- A large part of it is salaries and corporate expenses
- S$1.2 million legal fees for expenses in FY2015 was non-recurring
- We also recognized amortization of about S$700,000 for MPG and S$100,000 for ZPA in FY2015. Last year, excluding the one-time legal fee of $1.2 m, operating expenses totalled $20 m.
Where are the stock options vested? Are these affecting the share price? Is the option price lower than market price?
- There is a 2 year vesting period before employees can exercise their options
- After which, the employee can exercise their option between the end of the second year to the fifth year
- This started when the company first listed. It is meant to allow the staff to grow with the company
- Prices are roughly at a discount to the market
- So far it has been a small amount of about 5 – 6 million options issued and about 2 - 3 million exercised so far
- It has not affected the trading of the share prices much
What happens to the (Mech-Power) factory in Johor Bahru should there be any problems for the country?
- We own the factory in JB
- Instalments and expenses have been reduced due to the weaker ringgit
- Should there be any problems or social unrest, our new factory will have the capabilities to pick up the slack
Now that the TOP inspection is done, are there any other costs going forward?
How much liquidated damages are expected?
What are you plans for the current premises? What is the book value?
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The Powerpoint presentation slides for the briefing are here.