Excerpts from UOB KH's report
Analysts: Edison Chen & Nicholas Leow
Food Empire’s 2Q17 results came in within expectations as net profit to equity holders rose 93.7% on the back of strong growth in sales for most key markets. As core market currencies stabilise with a possible recovery in oil prices, we expect Food Empire’s pricing power to translate into stable growth for the company.
Maintain BUY with a slightly lower PE-based target price of S$0.87 (previously S$0.90). |
WHAT’S NEW
• Food Empire Holdings (FEH) reported 2Q17 results with net profit to shareholders coming in at US$3.2m vs US$1.8m for 2Q16. The increase in net profit was attributable to an increase in sales across all geographies as 2Q17 sales rose 17.6% yoy to US$62.8m.
Russia accounted for about 42% of sales for 2Q17 with sales growing 12% yoy from US$23.8m in 1Q16 to US$26.6m in 1Q17 due to a stronger Russian Ruble (RUB).
Vietnam sales came in flat with sales growing 4% yoy from US$9.1m in 2Q16 to US$9.5m in 2Q17 in the face of a difference in festive season timing and stiffer competition in Vietnam.
Sales in the other markets continued on a strong growth trajectory as sales grew 61.6% to US$13.7m in 2Q17 due to higher sales contribution from the non-dairy creamer plant in Malaysia and the instant coffee plant in India.
• Margins on the rise. Gross margin trended upward from 34.9% in 2Q16 to 37% in 2Q17 due to higher operating leverage together with a more favourable foreign exchange rate.
Focus on expansion into new geographies |
Food Empire intends to focus on expanding into new geographies outside of its core markets (Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan and CIS countries) to provide a more balanced portfolio which is evident from the 2Q17 results as sales from Indochina and other markets grew from 32.9% of total sales in 2Q16 to 36.9% of total sales in 2Q17. |
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
• CEO’s last purchase price at S$0.65/share. FEH’s CEO, Mr Sudeep Nair’s, last open market repurchase of FEH shares was in May 17 at S$0.65 which is at a 3% discount to current share price levels.
STOCK IMPACT
• We have lowered our 2017-19 net profit estimates slightly by 15-3.9% as we tweak our tax rate assumptions upward and fine-tune our selling and distribution expense and general and administrative expense assumptions.
Peers |
Market Cap (US$m) |
PE |
P/B |
Yield |
||
|
|
FY16 |
FY17F |
FY16 |
FY17F |
|
Key Coffee Inc |
1,039 |
65.4 |
42.9 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
Oldtown |
329 |
23.0 |
21.2 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
0.4 |
Nestle (Malaysia) |
4,505 |
30.9 |
29.2 |
30.4 |
28.9 |
3.3 |
Hey Song Corp |
443 |
11.5 |
n.a. |
0.7 |
n.a. |
n.a. |
Atlantic Grupa |
388 |
16.9 |
14.9 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
Average |
29.5 |
27.1 |
7.5 |
8.7 |
1.5 |
|
Food Empire |
263 |
17.8 |
16.3 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.2 |