Excerpts from RHB report

Analyts: Lee Cai Ling & Jarick Seet

• Maintain BUY and DCF-backed TP of SGD0.61, 39% upside plus c.6% yield. 2Q19 revenue rose 8.4% to SGD99.9m boosted by contribution from the mining sector, but offset by the lower contribution from large greenfield projects in the oil & gas sector.

CSE GLOBAL

Share price: 
44 c

Target: 
61 c

1H19 revenue/PATMI of SGD185.3m and SGD10.2m were 46.2% & 45.2% of our FY19F.

We remain cautiously optimistic on this counter as its orderbook continues to grow.



• 1H results snippet. Despite 1H19 results slightly missing estimates, we are heartened to see that topline growth is back on track with revenue from the mining sector rising 150.8% YoY to SGD15.8m in 1H19 from SGD6.3m in 1H18.

briefing819At 2Q2019 results briefing (L-R):  MD Lim Boon Kheng | Non-executive Chairman Lim Ming Seong | CFO Eddie Foo. Photo by Yong Jing WenOffshore oil & gas revenue remained flat at SGD70.9m (+1.9% YoY), while onshore oil & gas and infrastructure segments dipped 12.1% and 5.4% (YoY) to SGD51.6m and SGD47m respectively. GPM remained resilient at 27.8% (+90bps) in 1H19.

Operating profit of SGD12.1m (+6.3% YoY) was due to higher gross profit, partially offset by higher administrative and marketing expenses as well as one-off professional fees related to acquisitions.

Order intake increased by 22.6% to 193.9m in 1H19 and flow business remained strong. Its outstanding orderbook of SGD188.1m as at 30 Jun 2019 was at its highest in the last six quarters.

• Entering into the UK. CSE Global acquired Chatterbox Ltd, which provides radio communication solutions in the UK for GBP552,000. We believe that the group intends to replicate the business model in Australia by consolidating smaller-sized enterprises under its arm.

However, management is mindful of the uncertainties surrounding Brexit and hence, we believe there will not be acquisitions in the near term.

Maintain dividend at 2.75 SG cents for FY19. The group has guided for a full year dividend of 2.75 SG cents, consistent with FY18.

Net cash position of SGD8.6m as at 30 Jun 2019 was down from SGD34.8m as at 31 Mar 2019 mainly due to working capital purposes. Operating cash flow is expected to increase by end-FY19F.

Maintain BUY and DCF-backed TP of SGD0.61, implying 13.7x FY19F P/E. It is currently trading at 10x FY19F P/E, with an attractive dividend yield of 6.3%.

Key downside risks include oil price volatility, economic slowdown, forex risks, declining order intake, lower margins, and execution risks.


Full RHB report here. 
UOB Kay Hian report (target price 62 cents) is here


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