GEAR machine12.16Global coal prices have surged since June 2016, and miners have turned profitable. 2017 will see massive profits returning, if coal prices stay where they are. Photo: Company The Edge Singapore, in its current Feb 20-26 weekly edition, has added Golden Energy & Resources (GEAR) to its Singapore market portfolio (see table).

Company

Share
price bought at

Recent share price

AP Oil

$0.23

0.255

CapitaLand

$3.06

3.460

Chew’s Group

$0.325

$0.365

Cogent Holdings

$0.695

$0.780

Fischer Tech

$1.45

$1.780

Golden Energy & Resources

$0.515

$0.515

Japfa

$1.04

$1.010

Old Chang Kee

$0.81

$0.860

Venture Corp

$10.12

$10.240

"We think it will benefit from higher coal prices. GEAR is planning to ramp  up its coal production by 40% to hit 14 million tonnes this year," according to the article.

GEAR has a break-even cost of production of US$21 a tonne. 

Assuming it can sell its coal at US$40+ per tonne, it would reap a gross profit of roughly US$280 million if it produces its target of 14 million tonnes of coal this year.

KGI Securities' forecast: US$95.8 million in net profit this year.

On that number, GEAR's price-earnings ratio is less than 10, considering its market cap of about S$1.25 billion based on a stock price of 53 cents.

Golden Energy & Resources
Share price: 
53 c
Target price: 
95 c
(Source: KGI)

For The Edge's write-up on its portfolio matters, go buy a copy at newsstands for S$5. 

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