2nd Liner Prop Stocks

potatolover
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9 years 8 months ago - 8 years 11 months ago #20508 by potatolover

Replied by potatolover on topic Re:2nd Liner Prop Stocks - Chip Eng Seng

Last edit: 8 years 11 months ago by potatolover.

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Dongdaemun
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9 years 8 months ago #20636 by Dongdaemun

Replied by Dongdaemun on topic 2nd Liner Prop Stocks

KSH Holdings: 1Q15 results within expectations

KSH reported 1QFY15 PATMI of S$9.6m, down 15.7% YoY mostly due to lower contributions from both the construction and property development segments and a weaker share of profits from associates given lower progress recognition at JV development projects. We judge this set of results to be mostly in line with expectations and 1QFY15 PATMI now make up 27.6% of our full year forecast.

In terms of the topline, 1QFY15 revenues also decreased 14.6% YoY to S$62.5m as construction revenues dipped 15.0% YoY to S$60.9m while development revenues ceased given the TOP of Lincoln Suites.

KSH’s order book for its construction segment remains fairly healthy at S$490m as at end Jul-14, having recently clinching a S$147.8m public sector project for the design, construction, completion and maintenance of an integrated Community Building. The group continues to enjoy a strong balance sheet with S$104.5m in cash and a low gearing of 2%. Maintain BUY with an unchanged fair value estimate of S$0.71. (Eli Lee)

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Value Seeker
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9 years 8 months ago #20659 by Value Seeker

Replied by Value Seeker on topic 2nd Liner Prop Stocks

Hi Sumer,

Oxley holdings' share price have been dropping fairly rapidly recently...

What do you reckon is oxley's RNAV?

I read from oxley's recent presentation that many of its projects like Royal Wharf 1st phase are largely sold.

I wonder what is causing its share price to drop so much so fast....

infopub.sgx.com/Apps?A=COW_CorpAnnouncem...ratePresentation.pdf

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sumer
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9 years 8 months ago #20677 by sumer

Replied by sumer on topic 2nd Liner Prop Stocks

Hi Valueseeker,

I suspect Oxley has been underperforming (vs other developers) because:

1. It does not have high NAV or RNAV. Property stocks that have high RNAV tend to have price support.

2. Oxley is, to me, more of a concept (ie, Ching’s agility and aggressiveness) counter. Perhaps investors are giving less value to Oxley now that (a) the big money made in Singapore’s Mickey Mouse units in all sectors is over, (b) higher interest rates will hit the more highly leveraged companies more, (c) aggressiveness in land acquisitions is not valued when bubbles are expected to be deflated. Oxley does not fall into the same basket as safer value stocks like CES, Hiap Hoe, KSH, etc.

3. Perhaps there is shorting of property counters, as the physical prop market is weak. The active stocks will be more susceptible, especially if they are not supported by high NAV.

Note, however, that the above are just my educated guesses.

Nevertheless, with Oxley’s major shareholders holding more than 80% of the co’s scrip, I will not be surprised if positive news flows emerge. Perhaps when the stock trades cum-stock split, some price support may emerge.

The following user(s) said Thank You: Value Seeker

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sykn
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9 years 8 months ago #20680 by sykn

Replied by sykn on topic 2nd Liner Prop Stocks

Sumer, thanks for the evaluation which looks very reasonable to me. Question is whether the 25% drop in price is overdone. I will take a look at this one soon.

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sykn
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9 years 8 months ago #20681 by sykn

Replied by sykn on topic 2nd Liner Prop Stocks

From my cursory investigation into Oxley (this counter is new to me), I can see why its price has come down in the last 4 months. Current P/E of 28.9 (very high compared to other property counters), net debt / equity is 4.7 (very high) and NTA/share of $0.08 (very low). The only good thing about it is its high ROE of 29% but only in the last FY. All these numbers taken from ShareInvestor.com website based on FY13 performance. My initial conclusion is that it is over-priced relative to other property counters. Just my own two-cents of opinion. (not vested)

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