Coal futures for Oct, Nov, Dec 2021: All above US$110 / tonne.
For the first time, Jan, Feb, March 2022: All have crossed US$100/tonne
It's unchartered territory --- Geo Energy & Golden Energy are seeing a flood of cash inflow. What will they do with it ? Dividends should be very much on their agenda
GEMS has a market capitalisation of IDR51T in Jakarta.
Golden Energy (SGX listed) owns 62.5% of GEMS -- stake worth almost SGD3b. But Golden Energy now capitalised at only $640 million.
Meanwhile, Golden Energy has an ASX subsidiary, Stanmore. Now enjoying high metalurgical coal price in 2H 2021.
Conclusion: Expect huge profits to be reported by Golden Energy for 2H 2021. Now stock price only 29 cents. Target 60 cents.
Indon domestic power stations not getting sufficient coal as the producers send their coal to overseas buyers at higher prices. Govt announced suspension of exports for 1 month. That's the problem with an artificial non-market mechanism that puts a ceiling on domestic selling price of coal.
If Monday sees Geo and GEAR prices drop, i think it's an opportunity to pick up bargains, since the export suspension cannot be forever.