Startling Sign Insiders Preparing For Something Big

Relaxing – I have been doing some research into the behaviour pattern of our stock market over the last 40 years. My conclusion is that the current state of the market is an unprecedented one departing from the normal character of the bull/bear cycles of past decades. I foresee a long bear market ahead.
Having read numerous reports on the current state of the EU, US and China economies, I share your view that our market would continue to be volatile (good for traders) due to mood swings alternating between hopes and despairs emancipating from these economies. QE1 & 2 did not help the US economy to recover and QE3 (if it happens) is likely to suffer the same fate after a short-term euphoria. The risk of further deterioration in US economy is expected to be high after QE3 or after the US election and a long bear market may well ensue. Cheap credit and ultra low interest rate are more likely to result in slow or no economic recovery unless the government concerned can put their act together and able to take unpopular decisive measures to turn their economy around. Take Japan as an example, its economy was doing rather well prior to 1990. After the bursting of its bubble economy in 1990, it encountered successive financial crisis, price deflation and mushrooming public debt. Its cheap credit availability and ultra low interest rate throughout the years, have failed to turn its economy around even to date. I believe the US is likely to be heading into the same direction.
I do hope I am wrong in my views as many of us are liable to be badly hurt in a further deterioration of world economy and business environment.

hey observer2, this great fear has been about nothing?  It's Feb 2013 and the world outlook has gotten better. Europe breakup is no more in the headlines and Europe is slowly healing. Sometimes, on hindsight, I wish I had bought more shares when some fear grabs people by the throat.  

In late august 2012, Sino Grandness was only 45-46 cents, but now 82 cents!!!
similarly, Food Empire was 42-43 cents, now 69 cents!!!
[hr]
[observer2 23-08-2012]:

Below is a link to a recent article on –
Startling Evidence that Central Bank & Wall Street Insiders Are Rapidly Preparing For Something Big and Why George Soros Is Selling So Much Stock & Buying So Much Gold -
theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/sta...ng-for-something-big
Do these people really know something that others don’t?

Hi, Reck,
I agree with you that the great fear has been about nothing but how many of us then were psychologically prepared to venture into the market in a sizeable way. Investment is all about taking calculated risks and the more one is risk adverse, the more difficult it is to win big. However, do not be disheartened if you missed the last great opportunity. There will always be many others further down the road. One just need to he patient and be either courageous enough to buy at cheaper level when fear abound and market outlook seems bad (also higher risk) or buy at a higher level (or premium) when things started to look better and prices may have turned around or broken out above resistance levels.
Contrary to many people’s expectation, QE3 has a rather different impact on the stock market as QE1 & 2. Why? My guess is that the fear of the “fiscal cliff” disaster had resulted in US embarking on more massive printing of cheap money. EU and Japan had also follow suit to print their way out of trouble. In Singapore, the recent property cooling measures have cut off an avenue of cheap money looking for a parking place. As there are ample cheap money around and with the ultra-low interest rates, some of the money inevitably have to find their way into stocks to fuel the market for a longer period until some bad news appear. Have all the existing problems been resolved? Certainly not. I believe the EU and US financial problems would return to haunt the market now and then.
Many analysts and fund managers are now turning bullish in their market outlook for 2013. They may yet be correct but I prefer to remain cautious over the next 2 years. My strong belief is that the next big market-shattering event is likely to originate from the Middle East. According to a prediction or prophecy (which looks credible), Israel will lose the next big war (amid heavy casualties) with its Arab neighbors, and force to give away part of Jerusalem to exchange for peace under US pressure. Following this, a great natural disaster (& possibly also a great financial trouble) would strike US mainland. Given the volatility of the situation in the Middle East, it is very likely that Israel would certainly fight another big war with the Palestinians & their allies, probably within the next 2 years. With the US currently having big financial problems, an added great natural disasters plus further financial trouble would certainly rock the US & world financial markets. Should this happen, you will get your great opportunity to do a better job in the market this time, Reck.
Could such an event really occur, you may ask. To get the answer, you may like to read the 3 articles in the link below and decide for yourself –
www.truthorfiction.com/rumors/t/tenmajorevents.htm - 10 Major US Disasters
heavenawaits.wordpress.com/natural-disas...-and-harming-israel/ - Natural Disasters & Israel
greatawakening.blogspot.sg/2011/05/open-...president-obama.html - Open Appeal To Obama Concerning Israel
 

Just looking at the C-list today, I am taken aback to see China New Town crashing 15.7% to 11.3 cents.

I don't know why it had risen very fast and now has fallen so much in 1 day.

Another hot stock, Chip Eng Seng, has fallen hard too today. It fell 6.9% to 80.5 cents

Tis one I can venture that the reason is the absence of the massive buying by Tan Yong Keng. he has been MIA for 2 days, causing weak holders to give up on the stock - at a loss.

Be careful of the penny stocks. They can turn sharply down on you! 
Let the syndicates and the house traders play themselves. Some will make good money, some will get stranded. 

 

Herding Investment
  Be cognizant of herding. Herding investment resulted in investment bubbles and fortunes are wiped out Herding is subject to the greater fool theory. You can make a lot of money investing in fundamentally unsound assets, as long as you can find a greater fool to whom you can sell it at a higher price. It works fine but only to a point because it's a dero sum game. S-Chips Many S-chip are under value. Some show solid result but where is the the money? The credibity of the management are in questions. Remember the cockcoach theory.
Penny Stocks Speculating in penny stocks is just like a roulette wheel, you bang on a few and hope it pays off. The game is to get in and out before the interest shifts to something else. Many of the penny stocks have no fundamental value. It's just the zero sum game. It don't add value. someone will win & someone will loss.

observer2, the title of the article you posted was "Why George Soros is Selling so much Stock and buying so much Gold" .... 

As it turned out, this Georgie guy dumped his gold-related investment in 4Q of 2012. This was just a matter of weeks/mths after that article was published. 

Today Bloomberg gave an account of Soros and other investors dumping gold.

"Billionaires Soros, Bacon Cut Gold Holdings on Decline"

www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-14/billio...as-prices-slump.html

The real place where $ is moving massively into is equities. This year is the year of the bull for equities! I hope you do well this year in equities! Forget gold. The world economy is recovering
[hr]
[observer2 23-08-2012]:

Below is a link to a recent article on –
Startling Evidence that Central Bank & Wall Street Insiders Are Rapidly Preparing For Something Big and Why George Soros Is Selling So Much Stock & Buying So Much Gold -
theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/sta...ng-for-something-big
Do these people really know something that others don’t?