To everyday folk in Singapore, Budget 2025 so clearly means they have more spending power with SG60 and CDC vouchers.

To stock investors, a key sector to consider is grocery chains and retail malls. Supermarkets like Sheng Siong and retail REITs like Frasers Centrepoint Trust are set to get a boost.

Let's take a look at four analyst reports -- DBS, UOB Kay Hian, OCBC and CIMB.

Here's a summary of the key points: 

Grocery Chains
Sheng Siong and DFI Retail Group (which operates Cold Storage and Giant) are consistently highlighted as beneficiaries due to increased spending power from government handouts and other household support measures.

Analysts estimate that these measures will significantly boost grocery sales volumes, with up to SGD1.7 billion in vouchers potentially directed toward grocery spending.

ShengSiong budget2025

Retail Malls
Retail REITs with suburban exposure, such as Frasers Centrepoint Trust (FCT) and CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT), are also expected to benefit from increased consumer spending on essentials.

However, the impact is projected to be marginal due to the nature of rental income structures (predominantly base rents).



ALTERNATIVE PAYMENT METHOD

"Half of the vouchers can be used at participating supermarket operators such as Sheng Siong (SSG SP/BUY/Target: S$1.93) which has a more pronounced presence in the mass market areas compared to DFI Retail Group (DFI SP/BUY/Target: S$2.57). The other half of the vouchers can be used at heartland merchants and hawkers, including coffeeshop operators like Kimly (KMLY SP/HOLD/Fair value: S$0.34). We do not expect significant revenue growth as they essentially function as an alternative payment method to cash for groceries and essential items."

-- UOB KAYHIAN

 

Specific measures in the Singapore Budget 2025 that are expected to benefit grocery chains and retail malls include:

For Grocery Chains
SG60 Vouchers:

Each Singaporean aged 21 and above will receive SG$600-800 in SG60 vouchers, which can be used at participating supermarkets, hawkers, and merchants.

DFI budget2025

Community Development Council (CDC) Vouchers:

Households will receive SG$800 in CDC vouchers, disbursed in two tranches. These vouchers are partially earmarked for use at supermarkets.

LifeSG Credits:

Families with children under 12 will receive SG$500 in LifeSG credits, which can be spent on groceries and other essentials.

U-Save Rebates:

Eligible households will get up to SG$760 in utility rebates, freeing up disposable income for grocery spending.

Enhanced Disposable Income:

Additional measures such as income tax rebates (60%, capped at SG$200) and wage support programs are expected to increase household spending power, indirectly benefiting grocery retailers like Sheng Siong and DFI Retail.

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