|• While Singapore Airlines has long shown its prowess in global aviation, Singapore-listed ComfortDelGro has also increasingly proved its worth in operating land transport overseas.
• ComfortDelGro's latest triumph is in winning a S$5.1bn contract to operate the Stockholm Metro with a joint venture partner.
• With that, its global footprint now encompasses Sweden, UK, Ireland, Australia, New Zealand, China, Malaysia, and Singapore. It operates buses, taxis, coaches, trains, ambulances and rental vehicles.
CGS-CIMB's latest report rates the stock (market cap: S$3.05 billion) a "buy" with a $1.60 target price.
Excerpts from CGS-CIMB report
Analyst: ONG Khang Chuen, CFA
|Awarded Stockholm Metro tender
|■ CD via its 45%-owned JV with Go-Ahead has won a S$5.1bn contract to operate the Stockholm Metro. The 11-year contract commences May 2025F.
■ We estimate the contract win could result in 4-5% EPS accretion annually from FY26F. Reiterate Add and TP of S$1.60.
|ComfortDelgro’s JV awarded contract to operate Stockholm Metro
● ComfortDelgro (CD) announced that its joint venture, Connecting Stockholm (Unlisted), has been awarded a contract to operate and maintain the Stockholm Metro. Connecting Stockholm is a 55:45 joint venture between Go-Ahead Group (GOG LN, Not Rated) and CD.
● Connecting Stockholm will operate and maintain all seven lines of the Stockholm Metro, including 100 stations, six depots and 107km of track.
It will also provide project support for the Stockholm Public Transport Administration to further develop and expand the Stockholm Metro in the future.
● The contract is for a term of 11 years, starting in May 2025. According to Swedish media outlet Dagens Nyheter, the contract value is c. SEK40bn (S$5.1bn).
● We are positive on the tender win as it adds to CD’s growing international rail footprint. Stockholm Metro is CD’s first rail contract in Sweden and its largest rail passenger operation outside of Singapore.
● This also marks CD’s third successful entry into a new operating geography since 2021, having won contracts in New Zealand and France similarly via a partnership model.
● We understand that the business model is asset-light, with Connecting Stockholm focusing on rail operations and maintenance, similar to CD’s existing public bus operational models in Singapore, UK and Australia, which have minimal exposure to fare revenue risks.
This could provide CD with stable cash flow and defensive earnings, in our view.
● Assuming a mid-single-digit operating margin, we estimate the tender win could result in c.3-4% EPS uplift annually post operational stabilisation in FY26F.
Full report here