buy sell hold 2021

PHILLIP SECURITIES UOB KAYHIAN

United Overseas Bank Limited – Strong fee income and stable interest income

  • FY21 earnings of S$4.08bn missed our estimates by 6% due to lower-than-expected trading and investment income. 4Q21 DPS stable at 60 cents.
  • Management guidance is single digit loans growth with stable NIMs and provisions.
  • Maintain ACCUMULATE with a higher GGM TP of S$35.70, from S$31.30. We raised FY22e earnings by 8% as we increased NII and fee income estimates for FY22e. We assume 1.46x FY22e P/BV in our GGM valuation, up from 1.26x. Our ROE estimate is raised from 10.2% to 11.5%. There is upside to our estimates from S$300mn writeback and higher NIMs. Every 25bps rise in interest rates can raise NIM by 0.04% and PATMI by 4.3%.

 

 

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SECTOR UPDATE
Hospitality REITs – Singapore
Resumption Of Reopening


Bookings for hotels and serviced residences are expected to pick up as the overcast
from the Omicron variant fades. Singapore has reinstated daily VTL (air) quota back
to 15,000 and should benefit from a gradual pick-up in MICE events. The UK and EU
no longer require testing and quarantine for vaccinated travellers. The easing is
timely, coming before the summer holidays. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY ART
(Target: S$1.29), CDREIT (Target: S$1.42) and FEHT (Target: S$0.76). 

 

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UOB KAYHIAN

CGS CIMB

Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP)
2021: Above Expectations As COVID-19-related Earnings Peak


RFMD reported a record-high PATMI of S$84.2m in 2021, up 27.7% yoy and beating
our expectations, driven by a full-year’s revenue contribution from PCR swab tests
and vaccinations centres. Patient loads in China are improving as operations ramp
up. Looking forward, RFMD is set to face a sharp decline in COVID-19-related
revenue. We remain positive on RFMD’s medium to long-term outlook but do not see
any near-term catalysts. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower DCF-based target price of S$1.34.

 

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SIA Engineering
Slowly but surely


■ 3QFY3/22 net profit of S$33m (+217% qoq) was above expectations due to
one-time tax provision writeback from associates.
■ EBIT loss in 3Q widened qoq due to tapering government support. We lower
our FY23-24F EPS by 5-9% in view of higher-than-expected staff expenses.
■ Progressive ramp up in VTL traffic should help 1HFY3/23F revenue growth.
Reiterate Add with unchanged TP of S$2.92, pegged to 2.0x CY22F P/BV. 

 

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