buy sell hold 2021

PHILLIP SECURITIES CGS CIMB

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT – Room for organic and inorganic growth

 

  • 1H22 DPU of 2.40 Scts (+2.6% YoY) was in line, forming 48.4% of our FY22 forecast. DPU was lifted by the acquisition of an additional 28.1% stake in JEM over Aug-Sep21.
  • 313@Somerset occupancy at an all-time high of 99.7%, 17% of GRI de-risked with weighted average reversions in high single-digits.
  • Gradual deployment of c.11k sq ft from higher plot ratio could lift NPI by 2-3%.
  • Maintain ACCUMULATE, DDM target price lowered from S$0.97 to S$0.94. FY22e-26e DPUs have been lowered by 1.4-1.9% on the anticipated rising cost of borrowing. Our DDM-based TP dips from S$0.97 to S$0.94 on lower DPU estimates and higher cost of equity of 7.72% assumption (previous 7.66%). Impending acquisition of remaining stake in JEM and deployment of additional GFA at 313@Somerset are catalysts for LREIT.

 

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Singapore Exchange
Steadying the ship


■ 1HFY6/22 core net profit of S$222m was in line with our/consensus
estimates. Key drag was subdued treasury income and weaker cash equities.
■ SGX’s A50 volumes have sustained through the introduction of HKEX’s
competing product – a key positive. SB and BidFX contributions are growing.
■ Reiterate Add. Sustained market volatility should support hedging activity and
stronger derivatives volumes. Fed hikes are key to treasury income recovery. 

 

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UOB KAYHIAN

CGS CIMB

Banking – Singapore
4Q21 Results Preview: Seasonal Lull With Stable Asset Quality


4Q is typically a seasonal lull. Banks are on track to achieve high single-digit loan
growth with stable NIM. Non-interest income is seasonally softer. We expect pristine
asset quality supported by the easing of COVID-19 restrictions. We forecast DBS and
OCBC to achieve net profit of S$1,490m (+47% yoy and -12% qoq) and S$1,122m (flat yoy and -9% qoq) for 4Q21. BUY DBS (Target: S$40.28) and OCBC (Target: S$16.12) as banks are prime beneficiaries of rate hikes. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

 

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Lendlease Global Commercial REIT
Improving outlook


■ 1HFY6/22 DPU of 2.40 Scts (+2.6% yoy) was in line with our expectations.
■ Rental reversion continues to be encouraging at a high positive single digit.
■ Improving Covid-19 situation bodes well for 313’s performance. Maintain
Add.

 

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