buy sell hold 2021

CGS CIMB CGS CIMB

United Overseas Bank
A booster shot from Citigroup’s franchise


■ We think that the acquisition of Citigroup’s consumer businesses is not cheap
but strategic to boost UOB’s retail banking market share in ID, MY and TH.
■ Fed rate hikes should provide ROE uplift until earnings contribution from the
acquisition kicks in. We raise FY22-23F NIMs by c.2-5bp to c.1.57-1.67%.
■ Reiterate Add with higher TP of S$33.50. We view the roadmap towards
c.13% ROE by 2026 positively. A faster pace of rate hikes is a key catalyst.

 

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Property Devt & Invt
A slower Dec


■ Dec monthly home sales fell 58% mom and was 47% lower yoy following the
property cooling measures announced in Dec, and absence of big launches.
■ Volume transactions rose 29.4% yoy to 13,3489 units in 2021 while private
home prices increased 10.6% yoy.
■ Reiterate sector Overweight on valuations. Sector top picks: CIT and UOL

 

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MAYBANK KIM ENG

UOB KAYHIAN

Genting Singapore (GENS SP)
Grey clouds linger


Maintain HOLD call with lower TP of SGD0.83 (-3%)

With the land vaccinated travel lane between Malaysia and Singapore suspended, we expect GENS earnings to be flattish for yet another year.
Longer term, we expect competition for its premium mass market to intensify. We cut our FY22E/FY23E core net profit by 72%/54%. Consensus estimates are aggressive, in our view. Rolling forward our valuation base year to end-FY22E and raising our WACC a tad to 13.1% (from 12.3%), we trim our DCF-based TP to SGD0.83 from SGD0.86. Maintain HOLD call.

 

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Singapore Exchange (SGX SP)
1HFY22 Earnings Preview: Expect Flattish Results, Dragged By Cash Equities


With SGX’s 1HFY22 results announcement approaching, we reviewed SGX’s semiannual market statistics and adjusted our forecasts accordingly. Excluding the cash equities segment, we project yoy growth from the other segments based on strong 1HFY22 volumes. However, with SGX trading at its +1SD historical mean PE, we are cautious on the success of future growth initiatives and impact of A50 futures competition on earnings. Thus, maintain HOLD with a higher target price of S$9.74. 

 

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