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United Overseas Bank (UOB SP)

Cautious optimism in 2019E

 

4Q18 in line; loans, NIMs to drive earnings in 2019E Core 4Q18 earnings (+7% YoY) were in line with MKE and consensus estimates. 4Q18 NIM was flat YoY, but this should turn around once newly repriced asset yields flow through. Loan growth is set to moderate vs 2018’s high base, but should still contribute to positive earnings momentum. Management is cautiously guiding for higher credit costs going forward vs our estimate. As a result, we have lowered both 2019/20E core net profit by 8% and marginally reduced our multi-stage DDM TP to SGD29.71 (COE 9.7%, 3% terminal), which still offers 16% upside. BUY.

 

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Venture Corporation

Patience will be rewarded

 

■ 4Q18/FY18 revenue at 25%/97% of our FY18 forecast was in line.

■ 4Q18/FY18 core net profit in line at 30%/102% of our FY18 forecast due to judicious cost management and qoq revenue improvement.

■ Key risk is impact on economic growth from the US-China trade war.

■ Maintain Add with a higher S$17.88 TP, based on 12.56x FY20F core EPS.

 

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PHILLIP SECURITIES UOB KAYHIAN

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp Ltd

Further upside for NIM expansion

 

SINGAPORE | BANKING | FY18 RESULTS

 FY18 revenue and PATMI missed our estimates by 3.5% and 5.2% respectively due to a decline in net gains from investment securities and other income.

 FY18 NIM met our expectations by expanding 5 bps YoY to 1.70%.

 FY18 loans grew 8.6% YoY, driven by Building & Construction (+51.2% YoY) and Greater China loans (+8.9% YoY).

 FY18 NPL ratio remained stable at 1.5% (FY17: 1.4%); while credit costs normalised to 11 bps (FY17: 27 bps).

 Proposed final dividend increased to 23 cents per share, bringing full-year dividend to 43 cents per share (FY17: 37 cents per share).

 Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of S$13.70.

 

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Wilmar International (WIL SP)

Look Beyound 1Q19; Wilmar Is Not Just A Soybean Crusher Or Palm Player

 

Wilmar’s share price decline of 3.8% after its results announcement is not justified. 2018 reported the highest EBITDA since Wilmar was listed, led by good performances from the oilseeds & grains division and associates. 2019 could see some pressure from soybean crushing operations in 1Q, but a recovery in crushing margins is expected to come in 2Q and support should come from tropical oils, rice & flour as well as the consumer pack segment. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$3.90.

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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