This article by Jennifer Tan (left, Director, Research & Products, Equities & Fixed Income, at the Singapore Exchange) was published in SGX's kopi-C: the Company brew series on 14 July 2017. The article is republished with permission.
Urban spaces hold a particular fascination for real estate specialist Chan Kong Leong.
"My experience in China was instrumental in helping me decipher what I see today in terms of market disruptions," Chan said. |
Latent Potential
Listed on SGX in December 2004, Suntec REIT is the first composite REIT in Singapore, owning income-producing real estate primarily used for office and/or retail purposes.
Its Singapore portfolio comprises five prime office towers in Suntec City - the city-state's largest integrated commercial development that includes one of Singapore's biggest malls - and a 60.8% interest in the world-class Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre. The REIT also owns a one-third interest in One Raffles Quay (ORQ), a one-third interest in Marina Bay Financial Centre (MBFC) Towers 1 and 2 and the Marina Bay Link Mall, as well as a 30.0% interest in 9 Penang Road.
Spanning a total net lettable area of 3.9 million square feet, these properties derive a steady stream of income from a well-diversified pool of office and retail tenants. The committed occupancy of its Singapore office and retail portfolios stood at 99.4% and 98.3% respectively as at 31 March 2017.
Suntec REIT has a market capitalisation of nearly S$5 billion. Its shares have generated a total return of 15.7% in the 2017 year-to-date, compared with the broader Straits Times Index's 13.2% and the FTSE ST All-Share Index's 12.9%.
While the conditions in Singapore's retail sector have drawn much attention, more than 65% of Suntec REIT's income is derived from its prime office portfolio, which has remained resilient through economic cycles, Chan pointed out.
"The Grade A offices at Suntec City cater to a diversified mix of tenants ranging from IT, finance and trading to government bodies, while premium grade offices at ORQ and MBFC are at the top of the list for companies seeking prestigious addresses," he added.
There is a huge latent potential that can be tapped within the Suntec ecosystem, by using technology to connect all the communities together. - Chan Kong Leong Suntec REIT |
As for Suntec City, the REIT's maiden asset, its physical transformation has been nothing short of phenomenal.
It is now the only place with two MRT stations that connect commuters to all subway routes in Singapore within four minutes of travel. The development caters to diverse communities, ranging from office and retail tenants to shoppers, tourists and trade convention attendees.
"There is a huge latent potential that can be tapped within the Suntec ecosystem, by using technology to connect all the communities together," Chan said, adding that the Suntec Rewards system - launched in 2015 - aims to do just that.
Suntec Rewards is a cardless lifestyle programme that allows Suntec City shoppers to earn as they spend in the mall. Members receive shopping e-vouchers, birthday treats, bonus points and other perks.
"Last year, Suntec City Mall attracted a footfall of 39.9 million. Our convention and exhibition centre hosted more than 1,400 trade and consumer events. We're working on how to open access to this pool of potential customers for the B2C tenants in our office towers," he noted.
"Think about the value proposition when a lease of office space at Suntec City comes with access to this huge pool of customers."
And with the completion of Stage 3 of Singapore's Downtown subway line in October this year, expect changes in commuting habits, particularly for those living in the eastern end of the island. "Suntec will be in a good position to capture those shifts," he added.
♦ Boosting Asset Returns | ||||||||||||||
Essentially, the future of real estate is not just about physical assets, Chan noted.
To boost economic value, the REIT intends to drive utilisation of space through asset turns. |
No Magic Bullet
He remains sanguine about the outlook for Suntec City Mall. "We're one of the few malls in Singapore whose footfall is still increasing at a very healthy rate."
Consumer expectations have also evolved - rather than drive from mall to mall on weekends, most families prefer a one-stop shop where each member's needs can be fulfilled.
"Car parks in suburban malls tend to fill up quickly on weekends. Rather than spend an hour looking for a lot in the suburban shopping centre, some families prefer to drive into the city, where car park charges are also very competitive," he noted.
There's still a gap in the Singapore market - it lacks sophistication. Gone are the days when all you have to do is open the store and customers will walk in to buy. - Chan Kong Leong Suntec REIT |
"Suntec's size and scale, along with its variety of brands and range of price points, are able to meet all of those needs."
Obviously, there is no magic bullet for the domestic retail sector. "Expect some form of consolidation in the industry to continue. Those who survive are the ones who can address what consumers want today, and are able to mobilise relevant resources to meet those goals," he said.
Retailers will also need to reinvent themselves in the way they sell their products and engage their customers.
"There's still a gap in the Singapore market - it lacks sophistication. Gone are the days when all you have to do is open the store and customers will walk in to buy," Chan noted.
In this aspect, the REIT has benefited from its exposure to Australia, which boasts far more mature office and retail markets. Suntec REIT holds a 100% interest in 177 Pacific Highway, a landmark office development in Sydney. Last November, it completed the acquisition of an initial 25% stake in Southgate Complex, an integrated waterfront development along Melbourne's Yarra River.
"Australia is more advanced in terms of how space is used, the design of its buildings, and service quality. It's like having a glass that allows us to view the future, offering learning points on how the Singapore market can develop, for both the office and retail sectors," he said.
"And such changes are not a matter of if, but when."
The REIT aims to build further on its exposure in these two geographies. "We will continue to seek opportunities to add to our portfolio, focusing on prime real estate that offers long-term sustainable returns, with capital appreciation potential," he added.
♦ Above the Noise |
Meanwhile, to stay ahead in the industry, it's important to weed out distractions, Chan said.
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Financial results
Year ended 31 Dec (S$ '000) |
FY2016 | FY2015 | FY2014 | FY2013 |
Gross revenue | 328,595 | 329,515 | 282,407 | 234,091 |
Net property income | 224,575 | 229,217 | 191,627 | 148,670 |
Distribution per unit (cents) | 10.003 | 10.002 | 9.400 | 9.328 |
Quarter ended 30 June (S$ '000) | 2QFY2017 | 2QFY2016 | yoy chg |
Gross revenue | 87,305 | 78,938 | 10.6% |
Net property income | 59,417 | 52,673 | 12.8% |
Distribution per unit (cents) | 2.493 | 2.501 | -0.3% |
Source: Company data
Outlook & Risks | ||
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Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust
Listed in December 2004, Suntec REIT holds properties in Suntec City, Singapore's largest integrated commercial development (including one of Singapore's largest shopping malls), a 60.8% interest in Suntec Singapore Convention & Exhibition Centre, a one-third interest in One Raffles Quay, a one-third interest in Marina Bay Financial Centre Towers 1, 2 and the Marina Bay Link Mall, as well as a 30.0% interest in 9 Penang Road. Suntec REIT holds 100% of a commercial building at 177 Pacific Highway, Sydney and a 25.0% interest in Southgate Complex, Melbourne, Australia. Its aim is to invest in income-producing real estate that is primarily used for office and/or retail purposes. Suntec REIT is managed by an external manager, ARA Trust Management (Suntec) Ltd, which is a wholly owned subsidiary of ARA Asset Management Ltd. ARA, one of the largest REIT managers in Asia ex-Japan, currently manages six REITs listed in three countries.
For its 2nd quarter results for the period ended 30 June 2017, click here.
The company website is: www.suntecreit.com.
The ccompany's Stock Facts page is here.