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PHILLIP SECURITIES MAYBANK KIM ENG

Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp

Firing On All Cylinders as Economy Improves Steadily

SINGAPORE | BANKING | 2Q17 RESULTS

 2Q17 PATMI of S$1,083mn exceeded our estimate by 12.6%. Insurance and Net Interest Income growth exceeded expectation.

 Wealth Management fee income growth of 45% y-o-y was boosted by the acquisition of Barclay’s WM.

 Upgrade "Neutral” with a higher target price of S$10.81, based on Gordon Growth Model, (previously 0.95x book value, excluding preference shares).

 

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Ascendas REIT (AREIT SP)

Steady as she goes

1Q18 in line, best-leveraged to sector recovery

AREIT’s 1Q18 results were in line with our estimates, with DPU of SGD4.05cts up 4.3% YoY and 5.3% QoQ. This was driven by its Singapore and Australia acquisitions and higher portfolio occupancy, while strength in its business parks and integrated development underpinned a +1.7% rental reversion against softer sector fundamentals. We have kept our forecasts largely unchanged. AREIT remains the best-leveraged industrial REIT play into a sector recovery, as the tapering-off of new supply in 2017 should benefit its well-entrenched business parks and hi-spec industrial properties. With debt headroom estimated at 14-27% of its market cap, we see DPU upside from potential acquisitions. Reiterate BUY with unchanged DDM-based TP of SGD2.90.

 

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CIMB

Sembcorp Marine 2Q17: Forex swing

■ 2Q17 net profit of S$5.6m missed our S$30m profit forecast due to S$34m forex loss and S$5.5m provision for JV. Excluding these, net profit would have been a beat.

■ Brazilian real has recovered post end-Jun; this could be a positive swing for 3Q17.

■ Management expects orders to be better than 2016 but not committing to S$2bn-3bn. (YTD:S$75m). We cut order target to S$1.5bn from S$2.5bn on conservative grounds.

■ FY17-19F EPS reduced by 14-16% to account for order cuts and provision for JV.

■ Maintain Add and target price trimmed to S$1.87, still based on 1.5x FY17F P/BV. Interim DPS of S$0.01 declared, representing c.46% payout.

OCBC DBS VICKERS

Sembcorp Marine:

Hopeful of new orders

 

Sembcorp Marine (SMM) saw a 27.8% YoY drop in revenue to S$655.5m and a 51.2% fall in net profit to S$5.6m in 2Q17, dragged by foreign exchange losses of S$34.4m in the quarter. On a QoQ basis, revenue was 14% lower while estimated core net profit was higher at S$39.6m in 2Q17 vs. a core net loss of S$3.6m in 1Q17. Transocean has requested SMM to actively resume work for its two drillships, and has paid a further 5% on both units. As for rigs that have been technically completed and accepted but whose deliveries have been deferred, a number of new potential customers have emerged. Meanwhile, additional work scope requested by the customer for the P-68 FPSO may result in new work worth at least US$100m. The group has also declared an interim dividend of S$0.01/share, vs. S$0.015/share last year. After tweaking our estimates, our FV slips slightly from S$2.01 to S$1.98, but as we still see a 15% upside over a 12-month time frame, we maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

 

CapitaLand Retail China Trust (CRCT SP) : BUY

2Q results in line, MZLY turnaround, bye-bye Anzhen

 

• DPU 2.62 Scts, 0.4% higher y-o-y; in line.

• Minzhongleyuan coming out of the woods

• Divestment of Anzhen at 13% higher than valuation – testament to the REIT’s premium to book

• Raise TP to S$1.70 after rolling earnings forward

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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