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MAYBANK KIM ENG PHILLIP SECURITIES

Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)

Yield Headwinds Will Lower 1Q18 Profit

Brutal long-haul market

Singapore Airlines (SIA) will report 1Q18 results on 27 Jul and we expect a profit of SGD96m, -8% YoY. We deem this as in line. The long-haul market is brutal; perhaps the worst since GFC and we cut our FY18-20F earnings by 40%, 39% and 17% to factor in the latest guidance on capacity growth, yield and fuel price assumptions. We roll over our base valuation year to FY18 and peg to its long-term historical mean of 0.93x P/BV. Our new fair value is SGD10.85. Maintain HOLD.

 

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Mapletree Industrial Trust

Consistent set of results

SINGAPORE | REAL ESTATE (REIT) | 1Q18 RESULTS

 1Q18 gross revenue in line with our forecast

 1Q18 DPU exceeded our forecast by 6.6% from slower increase in property expenses

 Portfolio weighted average rental reversion of -2.0% for the quarter

 Raised FY18e/FY19e DPU forecast by 2.1%/1.2%, as we revised our property expense assumptions

 

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OCBC

Viva Industrial Trust: Expect positive rental reversions for FY18/19

Viva Industrial Trust’s (VIT) solid set of 2Q17 results were within expectations. 2Q17 DPU increased 6.3% YoY to 1.861 S cents, or 24.1% of our full-year forecast. Looking at the quarter’s results, we are encouraged by the total committed occupancy of 89% at Jackson Square as at end-Jun, contributed by >70K sq ft of new leases signed. We lower our cost of equity from 8.5% to 8.0%, following the successful completion of AEI at VBP and the positive rental reversions expected for upcoming lease expiries in FY18 and FY19. After adjustments, our fair value increases from S$0.83 to S$0.895. VIT currently enjoys an FY17F yield of 8.3%. Given that current price levels have exceeded our fair value, we downgrade VIT from Buy to HOLD with a fair value of S$0.895.

CIMB DBS VICKERS

Suntec REIT

Priced in

■ 1H17 DPU of 4.918 Scts was in line, making up 49% of our FY17F forecast.

■ Higher Australia contributions offset the weaker Singapore performance.

■ Adopting office tenant retention strategy, continues to right-size retail mix.

■ Strong balance sheet with visible growth pipeline.

■ Valuations not compelling; retain Reduce rating; our TP rises to S$1.77 due to inclusion of Olderfleet project

 

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Market Focus

Spotlight Turns towards Rig Builders

 Interest rotation to rig builders – Positive on SembCorp Industries, SembCorp Marine and Keppel Corp

 Property stocks still underpinned by improving sentiment – Picks UOL and City Dev

 Banks results – Watch NIM, loans growth and NPL

 STI resistance c.3350, formidable at 3400, pullback support 3255

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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