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Hutchison Port Holdings Trust: Indications of throughput recovery in Kwai Tsing

The YoY growth rates for Hong Kong Kwai Tsing monthly throughput have become increasingly positive, from -17.6% in Feb 2016 to +10.3% in Nov 2016. With this in mind, we have become slightly more positive in our assumptions for HPHT’s HK operations. In addition, we believe the comanagement agreement between HIT, COSCO-HIT and ACT will help HPHT gain a competitive edge in its negotiations with shipping alliances, as it gives HPHT added flexibility in berth and yard planning. As we roll forward our valuations to FY17, our DDM-based fair value remains at US$0.46. We find current price levels attractive in combination with the high yield of 8.0% for FY17F. We upgrade HPHT from a Hold to a BUY on valuation grounds.

AEM Holdings Ltd

Cutting edge product from the little red dot

■ AEM Holdings (AEM) manufactures equipment used in the semiconductor, solar and smart card industries.

■ After four years of R&D and collaboration with a major customer for a new generation equipment, AEM began winning sales orders in 2016.

■ On 9 Dec 2016, AEM announced that its outstanding orders to be recognised in 2017 were S$66.7m. Its 9M16A revenue was S$50.6m.

■ AEM trades at historical 9M16 P/BV of 1.54x and historical FY15 P/E of 6.8x.


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Raffles Medical Group

A New Era Of Growth

2017 would be an exciting year for Raffles Medical as we expect to see a strong growth pipeline coming on stream, which includes: 1. Additional rental income at Raffles Holland Village with an improved occupancy rate; 2. Improved profitability of medical centres – International SOS, Raffles Orchard and Raffles Holland V; 3. Higher patient load factor by end-2017 when Raffles Hospital extension is completed by 2H17. Maintain BUY with a SGD1.76 TP (22% upside) 

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As CAO reports and receives revenue in US$ but remains listed in S$, it benefits significantly from the rising strength of the US$ (up 8.2% since Jun 16). We raise our 2016 estimate by 7.5%, given that the intact contango oil market is delivering free profits. However, we opine that these factors have yet to be priced in as trading has been sideways, but this will change once CAO reports record-breaking results in Feb 17. Maintain BUY with target price raised to S$2.01.



LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices

Share Prices

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings6.620-0.400
Alliance Mineral0.370-0.010
Avi-Tech Electronics0.495-0.010
Best World Int.1.700-0.070
China Sunsine1.380-0.070
DISA Limited0.0090.001
Dutech Holdings0.250-0.010
Federal Int. (2000)0.385-
Food Empire0.660-0.015
Geo Energy0.220-0.005
Golden Energy0.375-0.005
GSS Energy0.167-0.004
Heeton Holdings0.565-0.005
KSH Holdings0.670-0.020
Lian Beng Group0.655-0.005
Nordic Group0.560-0.015
Oxley Holdings0.515-0.010
REX International0.049-0.002
Serial System0.172-
Sing Holdings0.425-0.005
Sino Grandness0.198-0.002
Straco Corp.0.765-0.010
Sunningdale Tech1.870-0.060
Sunpower Group0.545-0.035
The Trendlines0.125-0.002
Tiong Seng0.3950.005
Trek 2000 Int.0.245-0.015
Uni-Asia Group1.410-
XMH Holdings0.255-0.005
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.220-0.050

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