Excerpts from analyst reports


OSK-DMG ups Yangzijiang Shipbuilding's target from 95 cents to $1.00

Analysts: Lee Yue Jer and Jason Saw

2Ren-Yuanlin-annRen Yuanlin, executive chairman of Yangzijiang. Company photoWe raise our FY13F-FY14F EPS by 9%-14% as we now expect a slower decline in HTM (held-to-maturity) investments. We remain NEUTRAL amid improving ship demand vis-à-vis still-weak pricing, with our revised TP at SGD1.00.

Confidence in winning more orders. YZJ has a net orderbook of USD3.24bn comprising 29 container ships and 42 bulk carriers.

YTD, it has secured USD1.01bn in new orders for 27 ships, and Management is confident of winning another USD1.0bn-USD1.5bn for 2H13.

We think this is achievable as YZJ has 47 options valued at USD2.54bn with various buyers, which we expect will translate into firm orders.

Faster recovery but no near-term catalysts in sight. We believe YZJ will recover from the current downturn faster than its peers given its industry-leading capabilities. 

However, we are still NEUTRAL on the stock given the lack of catalysts as new orders are likely to fetch lower margins while earnings momentum remains negative. 

We believe investors may like to see more proactive capital management on the company’s part before becoming more positive on the stock.
 

dmg8.13


Recent story:  YANGZIJIANG: Rmb 1.5bn Profit Accounts For Half Of PRC Sector's In 1H2013




SIAS Research pegs Roxy-Pacific's intrinsic value at 79.5 cents


Analyst: Liu Jinshu

sias_forecast8.13Roxy-Pacific Holdings Limited (Roxy) reported a positive set 
of 2Q FY13 results with net profit growing by 10% Y-o-Y.
 
The completion of WiS@Changi will bump profit growth 
higher in 2H FY13. Pre-sales at recent Roxy’s launches 
have been strong and Roxy has started participating in 
overseas projects, with a development in KL.

We 
incorporated Roxy’s recent land acquisitions into our model, 
which raised intrinsic value to S$0.795 versus S$0.710.

We 
continue to like Roxy for its forward earnings visibility given 
its progress billings of S$1.1bn to be recognized from 3Q 
2013 to FY17. 

Roxy’s project pipeline now consists of two more launches 
in each of 3Q and 4Q 2013 and at least two launches in 
2014. As such, we can expect steady progress billings 
renewal as Roxy recognizes revenue from pre-sales at the 
same time.


Recent story: 
ROXY-PACIFIC: $1.1 Billion In Revenue Yet To Be Booked
 


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