Excerpts from DBS report

Analysts: Woon Bing Yong & Derek Tan

Raising TP as Gultech IPO progresses

INVESTMENT THESIS
Key Arguments:

• Potential IPO of GulTech to crystallise hidden value.

Tuan Sing 

Share price: 
$0.46

Target: 
$0.66

Since our initiation back in June 2020, Tuan Sing’s share price has risen 132% and we still see upside with a few catalysts ahead.

The sale of a stake in GulTech to strategic partners is projected to bring in substantial returns while sales at its residential projects could deleverage its balance sheet to a more conservative 0.6x by FY22, in our estimates.

As the potential IPO nears, we raise our TP to S$0.66 as we repeg our valuation multiple for GulTech to 16x FY22F PE, still a conservative valuation considering GulTech’s peers trade at over 20x FY22F PE.

PCB gultech• Transformation into partial tech play in progress. GulTech’s earnings have grown by a CAGR of 17.7% in the past five years.

While Tuan Sing’s effective interest in GulTech Jiangsu will fall to an estimated c.38% after the divestment to the strategic partners, GulTech’s earnings growth may accelerate with help from its partners.

• Resilient property market. The Singapore private property market has held up well amid the pandemic, and a successful sales launch of Peak Residence could catalyse share price.

SOTP Valuation
Our SOTP share price of S$0.66 was based on a combination of RNAV valuation and relative valuation.

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.280-0.080
Best World2.4500.010
Boustead Singapore0.955-0.005
Broadway Ind0.125-0.003
China Aviation Oil (S)0.900-0.010
China Sunsine0.400-0.010
ComfortDelGro1.440-0.020
Delfi Limited0.895-0.005
Food Empire1.290-0.030
Fortress Minerals0.310-0.010
Geo Energy Res0.305-
Hong Leong Finance2.490-
Hongkong Land (USD)2.830-0.020
InnoTek0.520-0.015
ISDN Holdings0.3050.010
ISOTeam0.041-0.002
IX Biopharma0.040-0.005
KSH Holdings0.245-0.005
Leader Env0.050-
Ley Choon0.043-
Marco Polo Marine0.067-0.002
Mermaid Maritime0.134-0.005
Nordic Group0.310-0.005
Oxley Holdings0.088-0.001
REX International0.1390.004
Riverstone0.785-0.010
Southern Alliance Mining0.445-
Straco Corp.0.4950.010
Sunpower Group0.210-
The Trendlines0.069-
Totm Technologies0.022-
Uni-Asia Group0.825-
Wilmar Intl3.4000.020
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.740-0.030