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MAYBANK KIM ENG

CGS CIMB

Singapore Banks

Defensive in 2020

 

Stable fees & NIM upside sets the stage for 2020E

10-years ago, trading & investment securities contributed over half of non-interest income (NI) for Singapore banks. By 9M19, this has shrunk to 44%, with fee income taking its place. This post-GFC structural change should improve visibility of NI going forward. Add to this an extra layer of stability with fee origination largely being driven by wealth management and retail. The sector’s increasing retail focus on both interest & noninterest income should keep credit charges in better check than wholesale heavy banking systems regionally, we believe. Together with the potential for NIM upside surprise from flat interest rates in 2020E, we remain Positive on the sector with UOB and DBS as preferred picks.

 

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Property Devt & Invt

Good buying interest in Nov

 

■ Active Nov sales with city fringe and suburban projects accounting for the bulk of volume sales.

■ Expect transaction volumes to hold steady going into 2020 with ample supply in the launch pipeline.

■ Maintain sector Overweight. Our top picks are CAPL, UOL and CIT.

 

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RHB

 

Centurion Corp (CENT SP)

Archer House Acquisition a Boon To Earnings

 

 Maintain NEUTRAL with a new DCF-based TP of SGD0.47 from SGD0.43, 8% upside with c.5% yield. The purchase price of GBP15.1m (SGD26.98m) for the proposed acquisition of a 177-bed student accommodation will bring the total number of beds under management to 65,133, including 6,433 being purpose-built student accommodation, with 2,852 in the UK student housing portfolio. As such, we lift our forecasts by 2-5% for FY20-22 with the inclusion of the beds.

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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AEM Holdings2.3500.030
Best World2.4600.010
Boustead Singapore0.9600.010
Broadway Ind0.1280.001
China Aviation Oil (S)0.905-0.005
China Sunsine0.410-
ComfortDelGro1.4900.010
Delfi Limited0.9000.005
Food Empire1.250-0.040
Fortress Minerals0.3100.005
Geo Energy Res0.310-
Hong Leong Finance2.5000.010
Hongkong Land (USD)3.0300.110
InnoTek0.525-
ISDN Holdings0.3050.010
ISOTeam0.0430.001
IX Biopharma0.043-
KSH Holdings0.250-
Leader Env0.050-
Ley Choon0.043-
Marco Polo Marine0.065-0.003
Mermaid Maritime0.138-0.001
Nordic Group0.3400.010
Oxley Holdings0.089-
REX International0.136-0.001
Riverstone0.800-0.005
Southern Alliance Mining0.430-0.020
Straco Corp.0.4900.005
Sunpower Group0.200-0.005
The Trendlines0.069-0.001
Totm Technologies0.022-
Uni-Asia Group0.835-
Wilmar Intl3.4500.040
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.720-0.030
 

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