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Real Estate

2020: A Year Of Two Halves


 Stay NEUTRAL; Prefer diversified plays. We expect 2020 market performance to be largely similar to 2019, ie volumes staying resilient but with little upside to property prices. With elections likely by end-1H20, we believe buying sentiment will remain cautious, but potentially see a recovery in 2H20, if the outcome results in a favourable mandate for the ruling party vs the previous term. Amidst uncertainties, we prefer players with well diversified exposure and strong recurring income growth – CapitaLand is our Top Pick.


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Phillip 2020 Singapore Strategy

A domestic recovery


Review: YTD19, the STI is up 4%. We fell short against the benchmark MSCI Asia Ex-Japan (MAXJ)’s rise of 11% (SGD terms). The STI has underperformed MAXJ in four out of the past five years. We lack the earnings growth and re-rating theme. This has resulted in STI valuations being stuck in a tight range. A new source of fund-flow could be a re-rating trigger. When reviewing sector performance, REITs stood out as the best performer in 2019. We entered 2019 with expectations of two rate hikes. Instead, we faced the “Powell pivot” and experienced three rate cuts in 2019.


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Sunpower Group Ltd

Full steam ahead


• First mover advantage leveraging on environmental protection trend and backed by stable recurring revenue

• Steam plants expansion buoyed by defensive textile industry

• Further RMB2.3b injection into green investments to cement dominant position; Manufacturing & Services (M&S) segment is group’s backbone

• Initiate with BUY and DCF-based TP of S$0.81


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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices

Share Prices

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.2700.050
Avi-Tech Electronics0.4400.020
Best World Int.1.360-
China Sunsine0.4550.010
CNMC GoldMine0.2600.005
CSE Global0.565-0.005
Eagle HTrust USD0.525-0.005
Food Empire0.750-0.015
Golden Energy0.1700.001
GSS Energy0.098-0.005
ISDN Holdings0.1990.001
JB Foods0.625-0.010
KSH Holdings0.4000.005
Moya Asia0.080-0.002
Nordic Group0.300-0.005
Oxley Holdings0.345-
REX International0.200-0.005
Sing Holdings0.410-
Straco Corp.0.570-
Sunningdale Tech1.290-0.010
Sunpower Group0.560-
The Trendlines0.1310.001
Tiong Seng0.2000.002
Uni-Asia Group0.690-
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.0400.020

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