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CGS CIMB

CGS CIMB

Offshore & Marine

Contract wins

 

■ We estimate the value of 4 bulk carriers secured by Yangzijiang to be about US$100m, and US$250m for the FPU that SMM secured from Shell.

■ YTD wins for YZJ should rise to c.US$705m, within our US$1bn target; SMM’s YTD order wins are at c.S$900m, above our S$500m forecast.

■ We expect positive share price movement for both on the back of attractive valuations for YZJ (0.6x CY19 P/BV) and above-expectation wins for SMM.

 

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Ascendas REIT

Maiden entry into the US

 

■ AREIT announced acquisitions of 30 business parks in the US and Singapore for S$1.66bn at a blended yield of 6.5% and S$1.31bn rights issue.

■ 2Q/1HFY19 results in line at 33%/66% of our FY19 forecasts as AREIT had higher than expected reversions although occupancy came down slightly.

■ We maintain our Hold call with a higher TP of S$3.15.

 

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RHB 

RHB

China Aviation Oil (CAO SP)

Strong 3Q19 Results; Reiterate BUY

 

 Maintain BUY with new SGD1.55 TP from SGD1.50, 26% upside plus c.4% yield. Better-than-expected 3Q19 earnings were driven by an increase in volume and profitability for the supply of jet fuel in regions outside China. This more than offset weakness in earnings contribution from associates. While weakness in associate earnings may persist in the near term, we remain confident of CAO’s long-term growth – to be driven by growth in Chinese aviation traffic. Ex-cash 6x 2020F P/E and below 1x P/BV remains compelling.

 

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United Overseas Bank (UOB SP)

3Q19 YoY NIM Squeeze, But Good Non-II; BUY

 

 Maintain BUY with unchanged GGM-derived TP of SGD29.50, 10% upside plus c.5% yield, based on 1.26x 2020F P/BV. Our long-term ROE assumption is 12.7% vs 9M19’s 11.9%, which factors in growing non-interest income offset by narrowing NIM ahead. 9M19 net profit rose 8% YoY to SGD3,338m, representing 77% of our pre-results FY19 forecast. UOB remains our Top Pick among Singapore banks. This report is an update post analyst teleconference.

 

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