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RHB

UOB KAYHIAN

Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE SP)

 

A Good Complementary Acquisition

 Maintain BUY and unchanged USD0.88 TP, 17% upside plus c.8% yield. The acquisition of One Twenty Five (OTF) by Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT (KORE) is a good complementary fit to its portfolio in our view as a long WALE and quality tenant base offer longer-term stability. Overall, besides an organic growth via rent escalations, we also see room for a healthy rent growth from its under-rented assets. Valuations are undemanding at 0.9x P/BV, and a c.8% yield with a healthy >300bps spread, when compared to multiples of Singapore Office REITs.

 

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Alpha Picks: Outperforms In A Challenging Month

Our portfolio outperformed the FSSTI amid a challenging August, declining 4.2% mom vs the FSSTI’s -5.9% mom. For September, we change our SELL call for Venture to a BUY and remove BRC Asia.

 

WHAT’S NEW

• A challenging August. The FSSTI retraced 5.9% mom in August, dragged by concerns over the US-China trade tensions, Singapore government’s downward revision of GDP growth to 0-1% for 2019, as well as the unrest in Hong Kong which hit counters with operations in Hong Kong. While our picks suffered declines of 2.2-8.8% mom, our portfolio’s simple average return of -4.2% mom (ex-dividend adjusted: -3.2% mom) outperformed the steeper decline in the FSSTI. Our best performer was our SELL call on Venture, which declined 2.3% mom. Among the worst hit were Keppel Corp (-8.8% mom), DBS (-7.1% mom) and ST Engineering (-7.1% mom).

 

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MAYBANK KIM ENG

DBS VICKERS 

Venture (VMS SP)

Past, present, future

 

Long-term drivers intact; maintain BUY

We remain constructive on VMS’ long-term prospects despite the current challenging operating environment, as i) customers historically show – and continue to demonstrate - revenue resilience; ii) end-markets appear broadly stable; and iii) potential from growth markets, new products and higher allocations by customers as a result of the US-China trade war is intact. We see room for DPS surprises, supported by strong FCF. Maintain BUY with ROE-g/COE-g TP of SGD18.88 (2.2x FY19E P/BV). Risks to our view include broad customer weakness due to a US/ global recession.

 

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Singapore Property

Land prices moderated in latest GLS

 

• Lacklustre demand seen in two out of a batch of three GLS land tenders

• Guocoland /Hong Leong Group bagged two out of the three sites; Hao Yuan won the remaining site

• Land prices moderated with decent buffers

• Next land tenders to close in January 2020

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.290-0.070
Best World2.4600.020
Boustead Singapore0.945-0.015
Broadway Ind0.125-0.003
China Aviation Oil (S)0.905-0.005
China Sunsine0.400-0.010
ComfortDelGro1.450-0.010
Delfi Limited0.895-0.005
Food Empire1.280-0.040
Fortress Minerals0.305-0.015
Geo Energy Res0.300-0.005
Hong Leong Finance2.480-0.010
Hongkong Land (USD)2.830-0.020
InnoTek0.520-0.015
ISDN Holdings0.3000.005
ISOTeam0.042-0.001
IX Biopharma0.040-0.005
KSH Holdings0.2550.005
Leader Env0.050-
Ley Choon0.0440.001
Marco Polo Marine0.067-0.002
Mermaid Maritime0.136-0.003
Nordic Group0.310-0.005
Oxley Holdings0.089-
REX International0.1380.003
Riverstone0.790-0.005
Southern Alliance Mining0.445-
Straco Corp.0.4950.010
Sunpower Group0.205-0.005
The Trendlines0.069-
Totm Technologies0.022-
Uni-Asia Group0.825-
Wilmar Intl3.4000.020
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.740-0.030
 

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