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New BOT Project Ramping Up Capacity; Stay at BUY


Moya has signed a cooperation agreement with Perusahaan Daerah Air Minum Tirta Moedal, the municipal water company of Semarang City, Central Java for a Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) project. The 25-year concession calls for a new water treatment plant with output of up to 1,000 litres/s at a cost of IDR 417m. Construction should start by 23 May 2019 and is expected to be completed within 2 years. This is in line with management’s aim to expand to 20,000 litres/s. We remain positive on Moya and reiterate our BUY. RHB is the only broker covering Moya.


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CapitaLand Mall Trust (CT SP)

Less An Impulse Purchase


Raise DPU but maintain HOLD CMT’s shares have held up well against the market in spite of underlying sector weakness. We remain cautious, though, given soft retail sales, rising online penetration and declining tourist spending on shopping. Its malls have lagged peers in growth metrics, although a sizeable portfolio and strong sponsorship could support longer-term upside. We raise DPUs by 1-7% to factor in its recently-completed Westgate deal. Still, maintain HOLD on our new SGD2.20 DDM-based TP (COE 7.0%, LTG 1.5%), in view of its slower DPU growth than peers and history. FCT (FCT SP, SGD2.16, BUY, TP SGD2.55) remains our preferred S-REIT retail exposure, for its strengthening suburban-mall footprint and potential acquisition catalysts.


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SG Industrials: Opt for resilience and low valuations



Our year-end report for the Oil and Gas sector last year was titled “Awaiting contract wins”, in which we expected a gradual recovery in 2018 and mentioned that a re-rating of stocks in the sector would require a continued flow of contract wins. We recall that there was significant excitement in the market in the earlier part of this year, with great expectations for new order wins along with speculation of a possible merger, but both disappointed as we cruised through the year. In the Conglos/O&M yards sub-sector, only ST Engineering is up YTD. Among transport-related names, the only stock that is up is ComfortDelgro, aided by a rally in Apr-May when Uber exited Singapore. In general, this has been a rather stable sub-sector with relatively less volatility, though SIA Engineering saw a 15% fall over two weeks post its 2QFY19 results and our rating downgrade. Looking ahead, among the Singapore Industrials space, we prefer STE [BUY; FV: S$3.95] with its earnings resilience, backed by a stable and diversified order book across industries, and SIA [BUY; FV: S$10.71] due to its low valuations. We are also upgrading SATS [BUY; FV: S$5.34] post the recent share price correction.


Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC SP)

Steady And Sustainable Rise In Dividend Payout


As CET-1 CAR at 13.7% is above the target range of 12.5-13.5%, we expect OCBC to improve dividend payout ratio towards mid-40%, bringing DPS to 48 S cents and dividend yield to 4.3% for 2019. Great Eastern could make a contribution to the B40 Health Protection Fund to satisfy the foreign ownership requirement applicable to insurance companies operating in Malaysia. The amount of contribution would not have a significant impact on earnings. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$14.05.


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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices

Share Prices

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings4.570-0.170
Avi-Tech Electronics0.000-
China Sunsine0.465-
Food Empire0.690-0.010
Fortress Minerals0.405-0.015
Geo Energy Res0.365-0.005
Golden Energy0.295-0.005
GSS Energy0.065-
ISDN Holdings0.645-0.020
IX Biopharma0.193-
Jiutian Chemical0.084-0.001
KSH Holdings0.340-0.005
Leader Env0.065-
Medtecs Intl0.295-0.005
Moya Asia0.063-
Nordic Group0.390-0.010
Oxley Holdings0.185-0.001
REX International0.3300.010
Sinostar PEC0.290-0.005
Southern Alliance Mining0.680-
Sri Trang Agro1.150-0.010
Straco Corp.0.410-
Sunpower Group0.440-0.010
The Trendlines0.1070.002
Totm Technologies0.178-0.002
UG Healthcare0.265-0.005
Uni-Asia Group0.970-0.015
Wilmar Intl4.200-0.070
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.290-

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