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UOB KAYHIAN

MAYBANK KIM ENG

CapitaLand Commercial Trust (CCT SP)

Gallileo Acquisition A Done Deal

 

The acquisition of 94.9% of Gallileo Property has been completed, extending CCT’s footprint to the Frankfurt prime CBD area (5% exposure to Germany). Management has guided for acquisitions of core commercial assets in key gateway cities, targeting an allocation of 10-20% of its deposited property overseas. At home, CCT’s CapitaSpring has secured JP Morgan as anchor office tenant, and is well-positioned to ride on the cyclical recovery in the Singapore office segment. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of S$2.11, factoring in the Gallileo Property acquisition.

 

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Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)

Serving up a high-protein diet Shaken, but not stirred; Initiate BUY

 

After a forgettable 2017 marked by the impact of regulation and other adverse market factors that affected a number of its divisions, we believe Japfa is on a recovery path and see FY18E-20E profit back up to USD89-116m levels from USD16m in FY17. Its integrated industrialised farming model across multiple proteins and geographies in Asia should make it a long-term winner from the secular trend of rising protein consumption in Asia’s growing middle class. Around 70% of our FY18E EBIT forecast is derived from the relatively stable animal feed and dairy segments. Japfa currently trades at 9x FY18E P/E while our SOTP based TP of SGD0.86 implies 14x FY18E P/E, a 13% discount to peers’ 16x.

 

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OCBC RHB

Singapore Airlines: Getting tougher to fill the spaces

 

Singapore Airlines’ (SIA) May 18 operating results saw passenger traffic growth outpace passenger capacity growth across all its passenger airlines. As a result, overall passenger load factor (PLF) for May 18 rose 2.6ppt YoY to 79.6% as passenger traffic grew 9.6% while capacity increased at a slower pace of 6.1%. And for the period Jan 18 to May 18, SIA Group airlines’ PLF saw healthy growth trend, registering growth as much as 3.2ppt in Mar 18 while the worst being Jan 18 (no YoY change). That said, not all operating statistics came in rosy for the SIA Group. SIA Cargo posted negative growth in Cargo Load Factor (CLF) for May 18, as demand did not keep pace with capacity changes across all route regions. Capacity grew 2.7% YoY but cargo traffic fell 3.3% in May 18. In addition, the on-going trade spat between U.S., China and European countries will not help if it results in lower global trade volume on imposition of higher tariffs. Nonetheless, given the fluid macro conditions and SIA’s mixed bag of statistics, we keep our forecasts unchanged for now. Hence, we maintain our FV estimate of S$11.30 on SIA. Maintain HOLD.

 

Consumer

Set For The Year

 

Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top Picks are Sheng Siong and Food Empire. We remain optimistic about Singapore’s consumer sector, as economic growth continues to bolster domestic spending, while tourism activities remain strong. Our channel checks show that retailers are revamping themselves to attract consumers to spend. Beyond Singapore, sentiment in the region is also improving. This is positive for the sector since most stocks under our coverage have exposure in regional markets.

 

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 KGI Securities

Since its invention of the world’s first anti-theft protection technology that uses encrypted codes on consumer electronic products, DISA has focused all its resources on its anti-theft business and continues to ramp down its other businesses with revenue from technology making up 64% of total revenues at 9M2018. Given that Walmart is now using DISA’s technology, we believe the time is ripe for the firm to ramp up its market penetration. Based on our projections, we forecast DISA to breakeven in FY21F and revenue growth at a CAGR of 135% from 2017 to 2021F. We initiate coverage on DISA with a BUY recommendation and a target price of S$0.02, based on a DCF valuation with WACC at 14.5% and terminal growth rate at 0%, implying a 2021F P/E of 23.9x.

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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