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UOB MAYBANK

Kimly (KMLY SP)

Operationally Resilient; Maintain BUY On Share Price Pullback

 

Since its IPO in March, share price has retreated nearly 30% from ytd peak. The stock is now trading at an 11% discount to consumer peers’ FY18F PE. With a strong cash balance of S$83.7m (20% of market cap), potential M&As could be a compelling catalyst for earnings growth for FY18-19. Kimly remains operationally resilient, and we expect continued organic expansion through the opening of new outlets. Maintain BUY with a lower DCF-based target price of S$0.45 (previously S$0.46).

 

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GuocoLand (GUOL SP)

Accumulate on Weakness

 

Falling share price at odds with stronger data points

GuocoLand’s share price fell 12% over the past month, underperforming the Developer Index (FSTREH), which fell by a smaller 4%. This is at odds with stronger data points that have emerged: [1] Stronger-than-expected pace of sales at Martin Modern, [2] Strong land bid for Jiak Kim site and [3] Wallich Residence hit SGD4,000 psf. We fine-tune sales and raise ASP assumptions for Martin Modern and Wallich Residence by SGD100-150 psf. We lift TP to SGD2.95 (from SGD2.90), based on a 20% discount to its revised RNAV of SGD3.68. Stock is attractively priced at 43% RNAV discount. Maintain BUY. Risks from a sharp fall in property prices.

 

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OCBC

Roxy-Pacific Holdings: Upgrade to BUY

 


Roxy-Pacific announced that it will acquire for A$33.0m a six-storey commercial and retail building, known as Melbourne House, in Melbourne’s CBD. We understand that it is in a mixed-use zone, where commercial retail, hotel and residential uses may be accommodated, and Roxy intends to redevelop the property to a mixed use development comprising hotel and retail units. In Singapore, we see Roxy to be well positioned to benefit from a turnaround in the domestic property market. The group has a landbank that can potentially generate over 400 homes in seven sites, with approximately 271k of GFA, including Dunearn Court that was recently acquired for S$36.3m through a collective sale. Our valuation model is updated with these latest acquisitions and firmer residential sales and ASP assumptions, and our fair value estimate increases to S$0.60 from S$0.52 previously. Upgrade from HOLD to BUY.


LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices




Share Prices

Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings3.0700.010
Alliance Mineral0.3500.010
AusGroup0.036-0.001
Avi-Tech Electronics0.460-
Best World Int.1.340-0.020
China Sunsine0.900-0.005
CWG International0.1500.002
DISA Limited0.014-0.001
Dutech Holdings0.340-
Federal Int. (2000)0.400-0.020
Food Empire0.6550.010
Geo Energy0.2550.005
Golden Energy0.385-0.005
GSS Energy0.1680.012
Heeton Holdings0.565-
ISOTeam0.340-
KSH Holdings0.780-0.005
Lian Beng Group0.700-0.010
Miyoshi0.075-0.001
Nordic Group0.5550.015
Oxley Holdings0.625-0.010
REX International0.054-0.001
Riverstone1.030-
Roxy-Pacific0.540-
Serial System0.165-0.005
Sing Holdings0.450-
Sino Grandness0.2050.005
Straco Corp.0.815-0.005
Sunningdale Tech1.8700.010
Sunpower Group0.5100.005
The Trendlines0.1480.001
Tiong Seng0.380-0.015
Trek 2000 Int.0.280-
Uni-Asia Group1.230-
XMH Holdings0.240-
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.5200.010

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