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MAYBANK KIM ENG CIMB

Singapore Economics

Export Momentum Pointing to Strong 3Q GDP Growth

Continued Export Momentum

 

Exports continued their positive momentum in August, with electronic exports showing no signs of waning. Non-oil domestic exports (NODX) surged by +17% in August (vs. +7.6% in Jul), driven by electronics exports (+21.7% vs. +15.3% in Jul). Non-electronics exports also accelerated (+15%) as pharmaceuticals (-9.1% vs. -53.6% in Jul) declined at a softer pace. Non-oil re-exports, a proxy for wholesale trade services, surged by +11.9% from a year ago (vs. +16.7% in Jul), driven by both electronics (+21.1%) and nonelectronics (+2.5%).

 

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Sembcorp Marine

Capturing market share

 

■ We estimate SMM will bag around US$440m-500m in contracts for at least two large Compressed Gas Liquid (CGL) carriers from American company, SeaOne.

■ This news is positive for SMM and we think the contract will materialise by end-2017F or early 2018F, lifting the lacklustre order momentum YTD.

■ Maintain Add and our target price of S$1.87, still based on 1.5x FY17F P/BV (in line with the average trading band in 1996-2003, pre-rig boom).

 

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UOB KAYHIAN

Singapore Airlines (SIA SP)

August’s Load Factor Continues To Improve, But At The Lowest Pace Since April

 

While SIA’s load factors continued to improve for the financial year, August’s 0.3ppt was the lowest since the start of FY18. Notably, SIA had cut capacity to Europe and the Americas and this aided load factor. We are also mindful of further pressure on loads or yields amid recurring terror attacks increasing competition. Maintain HOLD. Target price: S$10.10. Entry price: S$9.50 or lower.

 

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LionelLim8.16Check out our compilation of Target Prices



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Counter NameLastChange
AEM Holdings2.280-0.080
Best World2.4500.010
Boustead Singapore0.955-0.005
Broadway Ind0.127-0.001
China Aviation Oil (S)0.890-0.020
China Sunsine0.405-0.005
ComfortDelGro1.430-0.030
Delfi Limited0.890-0.010
Food Empire1.290-0.030
Fortress Minerals0.310-0.010
Geo Energy Res0.295-0.010
Hong Leong Finance2.480-0.010
Hongkong Land (USD)2.820-0.030
InnoTek0.520-0.015
ISDN Holdings0.3000.005
ISOTeam0.041-0.002
IX Biopharma0.040-0.005
KSH Holdings0.245-0.005
Leader Env0.050-
Ley Choon0.042-0.001
Marco Polo Marine0.066-0.003
Mermaid Maritime0.137-0.002
Nordic Group0.310-0.005
Oxley Holdings0.089-
REX International0.1400.005
Riverstone0.785-0.010
Southern Alliance Mining0.445-
Straco Corp.0.4950.010
Sunpower Group0.210-
The Trendlines0.069-
Totm Technologies0.021-0.001
Uni-Asia Group0.825-
Wilmar Intl3.380-
Yangzijiang Shipbldg1.740-0.030
 

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